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How and when will aviation recover from Covid-19?

The latest information, tools and solutions to inform your decisions

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact, keep up to date with developments in the aviation industry by exploring our data, insights, and tools to help you manage and strategise for what’s next.

Global scheduled seat Capacity year-over-year

Each month, we’ll show the % change in capacity for the latest full month (e.g June 2021), compared to the previous month (May 2021) and also the % change to the same months in the last two years so in this case, June 2019 and June 2020. We also show the projected capacity going forward (2021 schedule) and update that weekly.    

We also provide the % change in capacity for the current week i.e. week beginning 26 July 2021, compared to the previous week (week beginning 19 July 2021) and also the % change to the equivalent week in the last two years, so the week beginning 29 July 2019 and 27 July 2020.

These datasets will allow us to continue to monitor recovery against pre-pandemic capacity, during the pandemic and latest trends.

Global Seat Capacity
Global capacity in June was 300.3 million seats, or 39.2% below the same month in 2019.
Capacity for July is now expected to be 355.9 million seats, which is 18.5% higher than in June 2021 but 32% lower than in July 2019.
Airlines continue to adjust July capacity week-by-week and this week they removed a further 2.6 million seats, or 0.7% of July capacity.
Capacity between July and the end of the year has been adjusted downwards by 1% this week with August, September and October seeing capacity revised downwards while November and December capacity has been adjusted upwards.

capacity variance by current month and week

Capacity variance by current month and week
Globally, scheduled airline seats are at 81.7 million this week, down 1 million from last week, or 1.3%.
Among the major country markets, the largest changes have been seen in Japan which has 242,000 (-10.9%) fewer seats operating this week than last week, and Australia, where there are 185,000 fewer seats (-22.8%) . A state of emergency remains in place in Tokyo and Okinawa while some other prefectures have slightly less strict restrictions in place. Australia continues to grapple with rising covid-19 cases, albeit that the numbers are relatively low in absolute terms. More than half the population are again living under lockdown measures and in the last week New Zealand announced that it would be closing the Tasman bubble for eight weeks.
Other major markets have moderate increases and decreases in capacity this week with Germany, South Korea and South Africa recording increases compared to last week, while the UAE, UK and Brazil see capacity reduce somewhat.
In China capacity this week is 1.9% less than last week, which translates into a reduction of 352,000 seats given the size of the market.

Weekly Global Scheduled Seats Change Year-over-Year

Weekly Global scheduled seats change year over year
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Updates and Insights

26 July 2021 Blog

Airlines Likely to Lose Over US$8 Billion Of Transatlantic Revenues

Global Capacity Descends Again… Global capacity once again slipped back week on week as everyone settles down for three weeks of Olympian TV coverage ...

14 July 2021 Webinar

WEBINAR | How to manage supply as air travel demand picks up

This month we review the twists and turns of this industry as we head towards a recovery Becca Rowland, Partner, Midas Aviation, John Grant, Chief ...

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