Airline Frequency and Capacity Trend Statistics

Each month OAG produces an Airline Frequency and Capacity Trend Statistics Report, flight data included is sourced via Schedules Analyzer; a cutting-edge platform for airline schedule analysis. The report contains key facts and figures including Seats by Region, Top 20 Country Pairs, Top 20 Airlines, and Top 20 Airports, plus additional information regarding the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic and the recovery of the travel industry. The data below is for the month of June 2022.

SEATS BY REGION


KEY POINTS

  • This month, global capacity is expected to reach 423.3m, just 14.2% behind June 2019
  • This represents a continued steady increase month on month, with capacity now 6.7% higher than in May 2022, which equates to an increase of 26 million seats.
  • This is largely being driven by capacity in North East Asia (primarily China) where there is a gradual reopening after ongoing lockdowns in Shanghai and other cities.
  • Europe continues to see strong growth this month and Western Europe in particular is just 11.7% behind 2019.
  • There are still just 4 regions which have seen capacity exceed 2019 levels - Central/Western Africa, Central Asia, Central America and Upper South America.

TOP TWENTY COUNTRY PAIRS


KEY POINTS

  • Spain-UK remains the largest country pair in the world, with 4.7m seats in June. Month on month growth has slowed to 4.9% this month.
  • Just 6 of the Top 20 largest country pairs are sitting above June 2019 levels, with Greece occupying two of those places with strong capacity growth to Germany and the UK continuing as traveller confidence returns.
  • UK-Turkey capacity is also seeing Turkey apppears in 3 places in the Top 20, with strong growth across many of it's source leisure markets.
  • Again this month the Top 20 country pairs are dominated by European country pairs, with 15 of the 20 operating from countries
    within Europe.

TOP TWENTY AIRLINES


KEY POINTS

  • Airline frequency growth this month is dominated by the Chinese carriers who have added back significant volumes this month. China Southern has increase flights by almost a third, China Eastern by almost half again and Air China by nearly two thirds.
  • China Southern is closest to June 2019 levels now, with frequency just 5.9% below, whilst Air China is 10.6% below and China Eastern 16.8% below.
  • Air Canada is next fastest growing this month, with an 11.7% uplift in frequency on last month, but remains furthest behind in the Top 20 by frequency against June 2019, with flights remaining 28.8% below.

TOP TWENTY AIRPORTS


KEY POINTS

  • Unsurprisingly the fastest growing airport this month is Guangzhou which will see capacity increase by 37.2% on last month, equivalent to 0.8 million more seats. As yet none of the other large Chinese airports have returned to the Top 20, however Shenzhen is just below in 21st place, Beijing in 29th place and Shanghai in 31st place.
  • Next largest in terms of month on month increase is Charlotte which has seen capacity increase by 9% this month - equivalent to 209,000 more seats.
  • Some of the Top 20 are seeing capacity trimmed back this month - Atlanta is down by 2%, Tokyo Haneda by 2.5%, Dubai by 3.3%, Jakarta by 4.7% and Mexico City by 3.1%.

DOMESTIC MARKETS


KEY POINTS

  • The US remains the largest global domestic air market in capacity terms, with capacity sitting just 7% below June 2019.
  • China is next largest, and is now 5% above June 2019 levels with the significant capacity increase in the domestic market this month.
  • India's domestic market is also recovered, with capacity 4% above June 2019.
  • Indonesia remains furthest behind of the Top 10 with capacity still 18% below 2019.

COVID-19 IMPACTS


Aviation recovery since the start of the pandemic has taken a different trajectory for domestic and international capacity, with domestic capacity recovering faster and sooner.

KEY POINTS

  • This month, global domestic capacity is at it's closest point to 2019 levels, sitting just 3.6% below June 2019.
  • International capacity remains further behind, at 28.8% below June 2019.

FREQUENCY & CAPACITY STATISTICS DECODED


All data is sourced from OAG Schedules and is for the current month and previous months. Change in capacity and frequency is then calculated in each category against the same month in 2019 and against the previous month. Data is unadjusted for the leap year effect. In 2021 we moved to ranking the Top 20’s (Country Pairs, Airlines and Airports) by the current month, rather than using pre-COVID rankings.

There are six categories as defined below:

  1. Seats by Region is seat capacity for the current month to, from and within each global sub region.
  2. Top 20 Country Pairs are those international country pairs with most seat capacity based on the current month.
  3. Top 20 Airlines are the 20 largest global airlines by flights based on the current month.
  4. Top 20 Airports are the 20 largest airports by capacity based on the current month.
  5. Domestic Markets are the 10 largest markets by seats.
  6. COVID19 impacts domestic and international by month.

Each category includes a comparison in each of the above categories against the previous month, to highlight where frequency and capacity may be starting to recover.

Data for June 2022 is based on the OAG Schedules data as of 9th June 2022.

KEY POINTS

  • The USA is edging closer to recovery, with capacity this month sitting at just 5% below February 2019 levels.
  • China has moved back into recovery again, with capacity up by 8%.
  • India, Indonesia and Brazil are all sitting at a similar level, between 16-21% below 2019.
  • Of the largest domestic markets, Canada is still furthest away from recovery.