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How and when will aviation recover from Covid-19?

The latest information, tools and solutions to inform your decisions

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact, keep up to date with developments in the aviation industry by exploring our data, insights, and tools to help you manage and strategise for what’s next.

Global scheduled seat Capacity year-over-year

Each month, we’ll show the % change in capacity for the latest full month (e.g March 2021), compared to the previous month (February 2021) and also the % change to the same months in the last two years so in this case, March 2019 and March 2020. We also show the projected capacity going forward (2021 schedule) and update that weekly.

We also provide the % change in capacity for the current week e.g week beginning 5th April 2021, compared to the previous week (week beginning 29th March 2021) and also the % change to the equivalent week in the last two years, so the week beginning 15th April 2019 and 13th April 2020.

These datasets will allow us to continue to monitor recovery against pre-pandemic capacity, during the pandemic and latest trends.

12-Apr-Bar-Global-Seat-Capacity-Chart
This week, scheduled capacity for April is sitting at 271.5m, down from the 273.7m planned last week for the full month.
May capacity has also seen a reduction of 13m seats between last week and this week.
There is also a reduction in June capacity by 5.3m, following the ongoing uncertainty in Europe, and concerns about new waves and variants in both South America and parts of Asia.

capacity variance by current month and week

12-Apr-Global-Scheduled-Seats-Percentage-Change-Table
Global weekly capacity has fallen this week compared to last week, by 1.4%, or just under 0.9m seats.
This week last year was when capacity really began to fall, reflected in the position this week of capacity being 90% higher than the same week last year. Globally however, seats are still 42.8% behind the same week in 2019.
Of the Top 15 countries above, only 3 have seen capacity grow week on week – Australia, China and France – and these positive changes reflect relatively small increases in capacity – apart from China, where carriers have added 322,000 seats, taking capacity to 5% above the same week in 2019.
All others have seen capacity trimmed back with Germany worst affecting, seeing week on week capacity fall by 12%, or 80,000 seats. Spain has also seen a considerable reduction this week, with carriers removing 69,000 seats in the last week.
The slowdown in Brazil is slowing, with carriers reducing capacity by just 3.5% compared to last week. Brazil’s capacity is now back down to almost 60% below 2019 levels. Japan has seen capacity fall this week too, back by 1.2%, or 24,000 seats, taking total seats there to 51% below the same week in 2019.

Weekly Global Scheduled Seats Change Year-over-Year

Global capacity has been increasing steadily week on week but this week sees capacity fall back slightly, back down to 62.3m from 63.2m last week.

12-April-Weekly-Capacity
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