The journey to recovery starts here

How and when will aviation recover from Covid-19?

The latest information, tools and solutions to inform your decisions

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues to impact, keep up to date with developments in the aviation industry by exploring our data, insights, and tools to help you manage and strategise for what’s next.

Global scheduled seat Capacity year-over-year

Each month, we’ll show the % change in capacity for the latest full month (i.e. October 2021), compared to the previous month (September 2021) and also the % change to the same months in the last two years so in this case, October 2019 and October 2020. We also show the projected capacity going forward (2021 schedule) and update that weekly.    

We also provide the % change in capacity for the current week i.e. week beginning 25 October 2021, compared to the previous week (week beginning 18 October 2021) and also the % change to the equivalent week in the last two years, so the week beginning 28 October 2019 and 26 October 2020.

These datasets will allow us to continue to monitor recovery against pre-pandemic capacity, during the pandemic and latest trends.

25-Oct-Global-Seat-Capacity
The global airline schedule is now exhibiting much more stability than it has over the past 18 months. As each week goes by fewer changes are being made to the schedules for the forthcoming weeks and months.
One reason for this is that as we move into the IATA Winter season for 2021/22, the schedules are primarily based on airline filings made since the start of the pandemic and there is little by way of residual schedules from before the pandemic started.
This week a further 1% of seats have been taken out of the November schedule while 0.2% have been added to the December schedule. October sees 3.9% less capacity than in September 2021, and 29% less than two years ago in October 2019.

capacity variance by current month and week

25-Oct-global-seats-percentage-change
Globally, the airline schedule has 78.5 million seats this week, which is 0.8% fewer seats than last week and 26.8% below where it was for the same week in 2019.
The major variant is China where once again a large adjustment has been made to the schedule due to new restrictions following efforts to limit the spread of covid-19. Three quarters of a million seats have been removed from the schedule for this week, equivalent to nearly 5% of all capacity.
Elsewhere, global capacity is actually up by 80,000 seats if China is not included in the calculation, or by 0.1%.
France, Spain and the UK have seen the largest week-on-week increases in capacity with seats up by 6.0%, 4.9% and 5.6%, respectively.
The USA has seen capacity fall by 1.4% this week compared to last week, or by 271,000 seats. This places capacity at 10% below where it was for the same week in 2019. While this may look like a worsening of the situation, last week USA capacity was actually 13% below where it was two years ago indicating that some reduction in capacity is to be expected at this point in the year and that in some ways the situation continues to improve.

Weekly Global Scheduled Seats Change Year-over-Year

25-Oct-Global-Weekly-Capacity
x

Download for free

Complete the form to access the latest data

FLIGHT INFO DIRECT

A NEW WAY TO CONSUME SCHEDULES DATA VIA SNOWFLAKE WITH LIVE READY TO QUERY DATA

FLIGHT INFO API

ACCESS THE FRESHEST DATA AND REACT TO SCHEDULES CHANGES AS THEY HAPPEN

Recovery Tracker

The OAG Recovery Tracker brings together our data in one place, giving you the ability to track the recovery as it happens.

x

OAG Recovery Tracker

Complete the form to access the latest recovery data

Updates and Insights

25 October 2021 Blog

Tracking the Aviation Recovery: Summer Is Over and the Winter Looks Much Better

The last week of the 2021 summer season brings the usual mix of changes in airline capacity, as some markets continue their recovery and others ...

20 October 2021 Webinar

Is a sustainable recovery on its way?

What does this mean for the aviation industry? Becca Rowland, Partner, Midas Aviation, John Grant, Chief Analyst, are joined by our own in-house ...

Don't miss out on our Insightful Aviation webinars series

Busiest Routes Right Now

See the World’s busiest international & domestic routes

Hubwatch

Tracking the recovery of the most connected airports in the world