US aviation market briefing

Latest flight data insights and analysis from America

October 2026

 

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120.4m seats
▲ +1.8% YoY vs 118.3m in
Top airline
American Airlines +6.0% YoY
23.41m
Top airport
Atlanta · ATL 0.0% YoY
5.44m
Top route
LAX → SFO +28% YoY
370k

US seat capacity, 2025 and 2026

Total US scheduled seat capacity in October 2026 is 120.4 million seats, up 1.8% vs October 2025. Domestic capacity increased by 2.3% to 94.1 million seats, while international capacity contracted by 0.2% to 26.2 million seats.

Monthly scheduled seats by year · millions

US domestic & international capacity: 2025 vs 2026

Domestic 2026 Domestic 2025 International 2026 International 2025
Source: OAG · October 2026 scheduled capacity

Top 10 US airlines, October 2026

American Airlines remains the biggest carrier in the US this month with 22% of the market, operating 23.4m seats. Delta Air Lines and Southwest Airlines both represent 19% share of the market, with 20.2m and 20.3m seats in October 26.

Breeze Airways has increased capacity by 44% (345,000 additional seats) and is 9th largest airline in October 26.

The top 4 carriers account for 77% of the market.

Departing seats · October 2026

Seat capacity by airline

Source: OAG · October 2026 scheduled capacity
Airline Seats YoY
1.American Airlines23.41m+6.0%
2.Southwest Airlines20.27m+3.0%
3.Delta Air Lines20.15m+2.0%
4.United Airlines18.70m+7.0%
5.Alaska Airlines6.28m+32.0%
6.Frontier Airlines3.97m+12.0%
7.JetBlue Airways3.52m+10.0%
8.Allegiant Air1.97m+8.0%
9.Breeze Airways1.13m+44.0%
10.Air Canada0.65m0.0%

Source: OAG · October 2026 scheduled capacity

Alaska Airlines added the most seats again this month, increasing seats by 1.5m vs October 25 - an increase of 32% year on year. The carrier has been able to use its combined fleet/network more efficiently following the Hawaiian acquisition and is also pursuing a much more ambitious international strategy, particularly across the Pacific, as part of its "Alaska Accelerate" strategy

American Airlines added 1.4m seats and United Airlines added 1.2m seats in October 26.

Top 10 US airports by seat capacity

The Top 10 busiest airports continue to account for 35.4% of capacity. Atlanta remains the biggest airport in capacity terms, with 5.4m seats. Capacity remained constant year on year.

Chicago O'Hare saw the largest increase in capacity again this month, adding 362,500 more seats vs October 25 to 5m seats.

No Code Airport Seats
1.ATLAtlanta5.44m
2.ORDChicago O'Hare5.00m
3.DFWDallas Fort Worth4.56m
4.DENDenver4.40m
5.LAXLos Angeles3.86m
6.SFOSan Francisco3.03m
7.JFKNew York JFK3.03m
8.LASLas Vegas2.92m
9.MCOOrlando2.90m
10.PHXPhoenix Sky Harbor2.85m
Departing seats · October 2026
Airport seat capacity — bubble size = seats
2.9m → 5.4m seats

Source: OAG October 2026 · hover chart or click a table row to cross-highlight

Top 10 busiest US domestic routes

The busiest route again this month is Los Angeles to San Francisco with 370,400 seats, an increase in capacity of 28% vs last October (82,100 additional seats).

New York La Guardia to Chicago is the second busiest route with 327,700 seats, a 2% increase in capacity year on year.

Los Angeles to Chicago saw the largest percentage increase of 31% this month vs Oct 25 (68,800 additional seats).

Capacity decreased by 7% on the Las Vegas to Los Angeles route, the 9th busiest route in October 26.

Route 1
LAX→SFO
Los Angeles → San Francisco
370,400 seats
+28%
Route 2
LGA→ORD
New York La Guardia → Chicago
327,700 seats
+2%
Route 3
JFK→LAX
New York JFK → Los Angeles
309,900 seats
0%
Route 4
LAX→ORD
Los Angeles → Chicago
291,200 seats
+31%
Route 5
DEN→PHX
Denver → Phoenix
284,900 seats
0%
Route 6
ATL→MCO
Atlanta → Orlando
274,700 seats
0%
Route 7
BOS→ORD
Boston → Chicago
268,900 seats
0%
Route 8
HNL→OGG
Honolulu → Kahului
249,200 seats
0%
Route 9
LAS→LAX
Las Vegas → Los Angeles
246,800 seats
−7%
Route 10
ORD→SFO
Chicago → San Francisco
243,800 seats
0%

Source: OAG · October 2026 scheduled capacity

States adding and removing most capacity

The state of California added the most seats this month, with 497,650 additional seats vs Oct 25. Oregon increased capacity at the fastest rate, up 11.3%, followed by Illinois up 6.8% vs last year.

Capacity decreased most in the state of New York again this month, by 260,900 seats. The state of New Jersey saw the biggest percentage decrease of 53.9% vs last year (26,200 fewer seats).

Top 5 adding & top 5 removing · October 2026 vs October 2025

Capacity change by US state — hover for details

YoY seat change
−261k0+498k
Source: OAG · October 2026 scheduled capacity
States adding most capacity · October 2026 vs October 2025
  • California+497,648 seats (+4.1%)
  • Illinois+399,700 seats (+6.8%)
  • Florida+323,768 seats (+3.1%)
  • Texas+154,433 seats (+1.4%)
  • Oregon+138,758 seats (+11.3%)
States removing most capacity · October 2026 vs October 2025
  • New York−260,878 seats (−3.0%)
  • Louisiana−86,110 seats (−8.9%)
  • Michigan−84,429 seats (−3.9%)
  • Maryland−58,494 seats (−4.0%)
  • New Jersey−26,154 seats (−53.9%)

US aviation market: common questions

American Airlines is the largest airline in the US in October 2026 with 23.41 million seats, representing 22% of the market — up 6% vs October 2025. Southwest Airlines is second with 20.27 million seats and Delta Air Lines third with 20.15 million (both 19% share). Alaska Airlines added the most capacity this month, up 1.51 million seats (+32%). Source: OAG scheduled capacity data, October 2026.
Atlanta Hartsfield-Jackson (ATL) is the busiest airport in the US in October 2026 with 5.44 million seats, with capacity unchanged year on year. Chicago O'Hare is second with 5.00 million seats and recorded the largest capacity increase, adding 362,500 seats vs October 2025 (+7.8%). The top 10 busiest airports account for 35.4% of US capacity. Source: OAG scheduled capacity data, October 2026.
The Los Angeles to San Francisco (LAX-SFO) route is the busiest domestic route in the US in October 2026 with 370,400 seats, up 28% vs October 2025, equivalent to 82,100 additional seats. New York La Guardia to Chicago is second with 327,700 seats (+2%). Los Angeles to Chicago saw the largest percentage increase, up 31% with 68,800 additional seats. Capacity on Las Vegas to Los Angeles, the 9th busiest route, fell 7% vs October 2025. Source: OAG scheduled capacity data, October 2026.
Total US scheduled seat capacity in October 2026 is 120.4 million seats, up 1.8% vs October 2025. Domestic capacity increased 2.3% to 94.1 million seats, while international capacity contracted 0.2% to 26.2 million seats. California added the most capacity of any state (+497,650 seats), while New York lost the most (−260,900 seats). Source: OAG scheduled capacity data, October 2026.
Alaska Airlines added the most seats in October 2026, with 1.51 million additional seats (+32% vs October 2025). American Airlines made the second largest capacity increase of 1.38 million seats (+6%), followed by United Airlines with 1.20 million seats (+7%). Breeze Airways grew fastest in percentage terms at +44%, followed by Volaris at +36% and Alaska Airlines at +32%. Source: OAG scheduled capacity data, October 2026.

Data is sourced from OAG's Schedules Analyser.

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